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Tech · Big Tech3rd largest company

Question

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Live

Yes
27.0 % chance
No
73.0 % chance
$456.41
14

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 00:20 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? → all 30 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 27.0 %chance
  • Yes 27.0¢ · No 73.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

17.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
27.0¢
Yes price now
9.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • Ha…hnYes2,271
  • ci…esNo480
  • do…meNo416.7
  • St…shYes839.5
  • mi…ktNo360.4

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Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank