Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$16.4K
27
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:36 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.5 %chance
- Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.5¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
37
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Ta…nkNo900
- Pr…ieNo666.6
- ci…esNo618
- ma…ksNo522.2
- Si…eeYes2,009
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