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Politics · Ukraine & Russia

Question

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?

Live

Yes
69.5 % chance
No
30.5 % chance
$144.77
6

Trading opened Sep 7, 2026 15:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 69.5 %chance
  • Yes 69.5¢ · No 30.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

69.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
69.5¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • ts…kaYes18,397
  • Vo…77No9,761
  • C…rNo8,423
  • ih…alNo4,633
  • Id…chYes2,355

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank