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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 30%-35%?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes
3.1 % chance
No
96.9 % chance
$0.00
0

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.1 %chance
  • Yes 3.1¢ · No 96.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.1¢
Yes price now
4.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • Sp…wlNo109.9
  • xt…meYes224.8
  • ca…48No69.9
  • Vi…axNo60
  • sm…ptNo60

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 30%-35%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank