Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$696.42
10
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
8
Top holders
- Ju…reNo304.6
- ba…arNo110.5
- go…94No105
- gr…19No95
- mi…27No70
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