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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?

Live

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$4.8K
57

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 20:19 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

FL-04 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

17.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
17.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
159
Smart money
49

Top holders

  • 7…5No1,009
  • Ga…maYes1,927
  • AnonymousYes1,470
  • Ju…reNo610.7
  • Ho…gsNo507.8

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Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank