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WeatherTyphoon

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Live

Yes
35.5 % chance
No
64.5 % chance
$342.18
12

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 18:48 UTC · Scheduled close Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • Yes35.5¢
  • No64.5¢
  • 1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

46.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
47.0¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • 10…56No3,812
  • C…eYes3,576
  • Po…teYes1,340
  • Fi…arYes1,569
  • Fl…ngNo1,082

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Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank