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Question

Will Michael Olise finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live

Yes
8.5 % chance
No
91.5 % chance
$495.54
9

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 19:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place → all 51 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 8.5 %chance
  • Yes 8.5¢ · No 91.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.5¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • C…aNo501.1
  • Vi…axNo480.9
  • ni…q3Yes904
  • pl…erNo150
  • Ju…reNo83.9

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Will Michael Olise finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank