Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
96.1 % chance
No
3.9 % chance
$1.14
2
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 22:33 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 96.1 %chance
- Yes 96.1¢ · No 3.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
90.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.1¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- tr…raYes200.6
- Si…eeYes153.7
- Yo…wnNo180
- cw…09No50
- P…TYes30
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