Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 9, 2026?

Live

Yes

12.2 % chance

87.8 % chance

$567.18

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 10, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

12.2 %chance
Yes 12.2¢ · No 87.8¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.6¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

12.2¢

Yes price now

11.6¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

mi…ktNo165.2
ha…ayNo140
gm…mgNo58.1
no…erNo55
go…94No48

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