Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?
Live
Yes
4.9 % chance
No
95.1 % chance
$2.9K
18
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 22:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.9 %chance
- Yes 4.9¢ · No 95.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.0¢
Yes price now
5.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
16
Top holders
- Cb…edNo601.7
- ja…23No503
- Hy…ngNo500
- Si…eeYes1,089
- Pr…ieNo281.7
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