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World · Global elections

Question

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?

Live

Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$572.07
21

Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 03:59 UTC

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.7 %chance
  • Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
2.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
42
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo244.2
  • Bi…ggNo235.3
  • ba…arNo219.3
  • do…meNo195.5
  • ci…esNo162.9

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Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank