Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
Live
Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$348.12
9
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.5 %chance
- Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
7
Top holders
- v…iNo361
- Lu…ysNo160.3
- l…bNo105
- An…meYes443.4
- Ba…cyYes428.5
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