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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts 17:00 UTC

Yes
6.5 % chance
No
93.5 % chance
$17.4K
54

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:05 UTC

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 6.5 %chance
  • Yes 6.5¢ · No 93.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.5¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
98
Smart money
36

Top holders

  • sc…oiNo9,043
  • Ca…57Yes25,508
  • li…erNo8,142
  • pd…ueNo7,960
  • An…meNo3,624

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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank