Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 24, 2026?

Live

Yes

1.9 % chance

98.1 % chance

$226.73

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.9 %chance
Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.7¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

1.9¢

Yes price now

0.2¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

go…94No93
mi…ktNo64.5
no…erNo55
gm…mgNo32.8
Sc…deNo18

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