Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?
Live
Yes
26.8 % chance
No
73.2 % chance
$3.1K
21
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 26.8 %chance
- Yes 26.8¢ · No 73.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
14.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
26.8¢
Yes price now
12.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
18
Top holders
- co…arYes4,182
- sh…ooNo1,410
- An…ntNo1,000
- in…esYes1,560
- cl…y1No500
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