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World · Global electionsIsrael

Question

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

Live

Yes
40.0 % chance
No
60.0 % chance
$108.16
9

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 20:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC

Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 40.0 %chance
  • Yes 40.0¢ · No 60.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
40.0¢
Yes price now
37.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • th…inYes125
  • go…94No30
  • me…48No20
  • Ju…reNo20
  • qu…elNo15

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Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank