Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?
Live
Yes
23.5 % chance
No
76.5 % chance
$115.85
7
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 23.5 %chance
- Yes 23.5¢ · No 76.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
23.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
23.5¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
6
Top holders
- sm…ieYes769
- An…meNo206.4
- Lu…ysNo160.3
- Ha…thNo142.9
- l…bNo105
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