World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Live
Yes
2.0 % chance
No
98.0 % chance
$76.08
7
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.0 %chance
- Yes 2.0¢ · No 98.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.0¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Bl…ndNo76.8
- Lu…ysNo65
- Fl…iaYes478
- A…VYes171.8
- Ma…elYes208.3
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