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World · US electionsGaza

Question

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?

Live

Yes
79.3 % chance
No
20.7 % chance
$1.8K
12

Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 00:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC

Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027? → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 79.3 %chance
  • Yes 79.3¢ · No 20.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

56.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
79.3¢
Yes price now
23.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • Me…leYes1,808
  • AnonymousYes334.5
  • Lu…ysNo210
  • Be…ouNo168
  • h…vNo169

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank