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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting?

Live

Yes
5.0 % chance
No
95.0 % chance
$902.35
22

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 18:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 28, 2027 23:59 UTC

Fed Decision in April? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.0 %chance
  • Yes 5.0¢ · No 95.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.0¢
Yes price now
2.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
35
Smart money
21

Top holders

  • sh…ooNo250
  • Lu…ysNo162
  • me…48No100
  • xt…meYes190.3
  • ca…48No40

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank