Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
Live
Yes
4.9 % chance
No
95.1 % chance
$466.68
10
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 10 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.9 %chance
- Yes 4.9¢ · No 95.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
14.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.9¢
Yes price now
9.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
9
Top holders
- gr…19No170
- Lu…ysNo110.1
- A…VYes210.9
- sd…f2Yes208.8
- e…3No64.8
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