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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?

Live

Yes
4.9 % chance
No
95.1 % chance
$466.68
10

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.9 %chance
  • Yes 4.9¢ · No 95.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.9¢
Yes price now
9.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • gr…19No170
  • Lu…ysNo110.1
  • A…VYes210.9
  • sd…f2Yes208.8
  • e…3No64.8

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank