Politics · Global electionsUK
Question
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?
Live
Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$18.79
3
Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.7 %chance
- Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
16.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2
Top holders
- Ad…shNo206.7
- A…VYes232.1
- Ad…stNo80
- Lu…ysNo51.8
- Vi…axNo50
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