Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
Live
Yes
12.5 % chance
No
87.5 % chance
$244.94
13
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 09:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.5 %chance
- Yes 12.5¢ · No 87.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
12.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.5¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
11
Top holders
- Pa…atNo434
- A…VYes227.8
- mu…erNo65
- 12…56Yes160
- et…erYes227.5
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