Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?

Live

Yes

5.9 % chance

94.1 % chance

$696.92

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

5.9 %chance
Yes 5.9¢ · No 94.1¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.8¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

5.9¢

Yes price now

1.8¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

SA…erNo1,554
AnonymousNo871.4
re…26Yes1,405
fk…40Yes904.3
Lu…ysNo160.3

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