Politics · Economy & the FedTrump
Question
Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
36.0 % chance
No
64.0 % chance
$2.8K
22
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 01:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 36.0 %chance
- Yes 36.0¢ · No 64.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
44.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
36.0¢
Yes price now
8.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
62
Smart money
18
Top holders
- Cb…edNo656.9
- Ai…rdYes440
- Gu…erYes238
- Pi…wgNo132.6
- li…erYes150.5
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