World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?
Live
Yes
3.3 % chance
No
96.7 % chance
$62.53
5
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.3 %chance
- Yes 3.3¢ · No 96.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.3¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4
Top holders
- me…48No100
- Bl…ndNo70
- Jo…92No72.2
- Lu…ysNo65
- A…VYes165
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