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World · Global elections

Question

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?

Live

Yes
3.3 % chance
No
96.7 % chance
$62.53
5

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.3 %chance
  • Yes 3.3¢ · No 96.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.3¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • me…48No100
  • Bl…ndNo70
  • Jo…92No72.2
  • Lu…ysNo65
  • A…VYes165

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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank