Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$527.45
9
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
8.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
7
Top holders
- ra…woYes1,251
- ca…48No200
- cl…y1No200
- t…aNo168.3
- jo…onNo116.1
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