Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election?
Live
Yes
18.7 % chance
No
81.3 % chance
$44.90
2
Trading opened Sep 2, 2026 19:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 12:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 18.7 %chance
- Yes 18.7¢ · No 81.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.7¢
Yes price now
15.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- No…otNo143
- qu…elNo45
- xt…meYes171
- Th…stNo31.2
- Co…reNo5
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