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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?

Live

Yes
1.9 % chance
No
98.1 % chance
$1.2K
17

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.9 %chance
  • Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.9¢
Yes price now
1.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
37
Smart money
14

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo321.2
  • Re…ekNo323.2
  • Ju…reNo228.6
  • sh…ooYes777
  • ci…esNo117.4

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank