Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?
Live
Yes
1.9 % chance
No
98.1 % chance
$1.2K
17
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.9 %chance
- Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.9¢
Yes price now
1.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
37
Smart money
14
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo321.2
- Re…ekNo323.2
- Ju…reNo228.6
- sh…ooYes777
- ci…esNo117.4
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…