Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?
Live
Yes
78.4 % chance
No
21.6 % chance
$3.8K
28
Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 01:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 78.4 %chance
- Yes 78.4¢ · No 21.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
57.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
78.4¢
Yes price now
20.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
125
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Bl…erYes3,125
- Cb…edNo612.8
- Su…amYes344.7
- Lu…ysNo453.1
- gm…mgNo395.3
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