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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?

Live

Yes
50.5 % chance
No
49.5 % chance
$6.5K
31

Trading opened Oct 27, 2026 20:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 18, 2027 03:59 UTC

Fed Decision in March? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 50.5 %chance
  • Yes 50.5¢ · No 49.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

50.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
50.5¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
77
Smart money
26

Top holders

  • tr…erNo6,158
  • C…1Yes6,329
  • Th…meYes2,380
  • li…erNo471.3
  • Sp…wlNo489

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank