Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 60% or more?
Live
Yes
2.5 % chance
No
97.5 % chance
$1.46
2
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.5 %chance
- Yes 2.5¢ · No 97.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.5¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo171.9
- Vi…axNo60
- mi…27No60
- Ba…cyYes311.9
- no…erNo37
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