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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?

Live

Yes
96.0 % chance
No
4.0 % chance
$542.18
10

Trading opened Jan 29, 2026 00:23 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TX-21 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 96.0 %chance
  • Yes 96.0¢ · No 4.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

84.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.0¢
Yes price now
11.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Sn…r7Yes2,304
  • ma…ksYes1,696
  • Pr…ieYes1,209
  • li…thYes769
  • Si…eeNo1,839

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Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank