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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?

Live · started Oct 20 04:29 UTC

Yes
32.5 % chance
No
67.5 % chance
$1.2K
52

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 22, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 22? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 32.5 %chance
  • Yes 32.5¢ · No 67.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

22.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
10.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
98
Smart money
42

Top holders

  • h…vNo196.8
  • mu…r.Yes347.8
  • Lu…ysNo176.2
  • ye…ppNo139.5
  • go…94No135

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank