Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
32.7 % chance
No
67.3 % chance
$3.9K
13
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 32.7 %chance
- Yes 32.7¢ · No 67.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
33.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.7¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
12
Top holders
- ci…esNo1,957
- Di…oyYes1,657
- Wa…rHNo207
- pu…daYes211.1
- tr…e1Yes200
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