Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
22.5 % chance
No
77.5 % chance
$23.7K
6
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 15:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 22.5 %chance
- Yes 22.5¢ · No 77.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
27.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
22.5¢
Yes price now
5.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
0
Top holders
- c…uYes30,757
- ta…jiNo9,912
- ti…inNo9,836
- ba…iaNo8,800
- m…1No2,209
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