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Politics · Ukraine & Russia

Question

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?

Live

Yes
63.5 % chance
No
36.5 % chance
$10.17
2

Trading opened Sep 7, 2026 15:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 63.5 %chance
  • Yes 63.5¢ · No 36.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

64.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
63.5¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • Tr…onYes2,451
  • Da…csNo1,174
  • ne…erNo1,000
  • no…e-No300
  • Su…tsYes222.4

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank