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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?

Live

Yes
36.5 % chance
No
63.5 % chance
$6.6K
18

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

NV-02 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 36.5 %chance
  • Yes 36.5¢ · No 63.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

30.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
36.5¢
Yes price now
5.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
20
Smart money
14

Top holders

  • Me…26No6,164
  • go…alYes3,200
  • Bi…itYes3,000
  • fl…efNo1,632
  • Pr…ieYes1,576

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Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank