Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?
Live
Yes
4.4 % chance
No
95.6 % chance
$1.5K
25
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.4 %chance
- Yes 4.4¢ · No 95.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.4¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
47
Smart money
24
Top holders
- Ju…reNo378.5
- Lu…ysNo359.6
- vi…20Yes1,000
- do…meNo154.6
- AnonymousNo144.1
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