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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7?

Live · starts 07:00 UTC

Yes
29.5 % chance
No
70.5 % chance
$913.43
53

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 7, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 7? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 29.5 %chance
  • Yes 29.5¢ · No 70.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

21.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
29.5¢
Yes price now
7.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
82
Smart money
36

Top holders

  • cl…dyNo232.7
  • AnonymousNo191.2
  • ro…07No167.2
  • he…67Yes254
  • Vi…erYes238

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank