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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 15?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
12.8 % chance
No
87.2 % chance
$906.09
35

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 12.8 %chance
  • Yes 12.8¢ · No 87.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.8¢
Yes price now
10.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
99
Smart money
27

Top holders

  • So…xtNo190
  • 24…32Yes282.5
  • sa…82No128.3
  • 24…32No96
  • a…3No85.5

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank