Politics · Middle EastGeopolitics
Question
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
5.9 % chance
No
94.1 % chance
$26.9K
37
Trading opened Mar 27, 2026 18:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.9 %chance
- Yes 5.9¢ · No 94.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.9¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
310
Smart money
17
Top holders
- QM…RENo20,926
- QM…ARNo20,456
- DE…ANNo15,577
- AnonymousNo12,684
- ly…icYes50,597
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