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Tech · AI

Question

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?

Live

Yes
90.0 % chance
No
10.0 % chance
$2.1K
20

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut? → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 90.0 %chance
  • Yes 90.0¢ · No 10.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

85.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
90.0¢
Yes price now
4.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • iu…alYes834.9
  • Be…02Yes357.1
  • Su…HRYes200
  • mo…yyNo391
  • Mr…🐸No331.5

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Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank