Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
Live
Yes
1.8 % chance
No
98.2 % chance
$743.14
10
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 09:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.8 %chance
- Yes 1.8¢ · No 98.2¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
9.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.8¢
Yes price now
8.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
8
Top holders
- Vi…axNo310
- gm…mgNo80.1
- mu…erNo65
- ba…arNo64.9
- a…zNo40
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…