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World · Global elections

Question

Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?

Live

Yes
92.5 % chance
No
7.5 % chance
$6.7K
54

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 17:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 04:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 92.5 %chance
  • Yes 92.5¢ · No 7.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

21.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
92.5¢
Yes price now
70.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
136
Smart money
34

Top holders

  • AnonymousYes3,060
  • Ga…tiNo2,269
  • AnonymousYes1,787
  • Sn…r7No484.8
  • AnonymousYes297.1

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Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank