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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Live

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$4.9K
20

Trading opened Jul 30, 2026 00:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 9, 2026 23:59 UTC

Fed Decision in December? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • do…meNo27,132
  • Bi…ggNo23,906
  • e…3No17,153
  • Vi…axNo15,965
  • AnonymousNo8,316

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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank