Politics · TrumpTrump 538 Approval Binary
Question
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?
Live
Yes
99.0 % chance
No
1.0 % chance
$1.7K
23
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 22:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 17, 2026 03:59 UTC
Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 99.0 %chance
- Yes 99.0¢ · No 1.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
85.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.0¢
Yes price now
13.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
15
Top holders
- sp…stYes1,359
- A…VNo1,161
- cl…y1Yes208
- jo…joYes164.5
- sb…bgNo400
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