Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Live
Yes
15.5 % chance
No
84.5 % chance
$5.2K
22
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 18:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 15.5 %chance
- Yes 15.5¢ · No 84.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
33.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.5¢
Yes price now
18.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
61
Smart money
16
Top holders
- Da…omYes7,275
- Bo…nsNo2,948
- a…zNo1,989
- Pr…ieNo1,718
- Ju…reNo1,659
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