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Weather · SeattleSeattle Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on October 8?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$159.02
6

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Seattle on October 8? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
4.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • sh…23No120.1
  • Cr…oxNo50.5
  • lo…inNo50
  • Fr…ysNo40.2
  • Ho…rsNo40.2

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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on October 8? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank